Premier League Premier League March 14, 2026
Arsenal

Arsenal

20
FT
Everton

Everton

We predicted

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Arsenal
Rank#1
Played30
Points67
PPG2.23
Goal Diff37
W W W D D
Everton
8#Rank
29Played
43Points
1.48PPG
1Goal Diff
W W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.2%
5.51
2-0
15.1%
6.64
0-0
10.9%
9.15
1-1
10.1%
9.92
Both Teams To Score
YES 34% · 2.9
NO 66% · 1.53
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arsenal 57% · 1.77
Draw 32% · 3.11
Everton 11% · 8.9
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.63 Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54 Under 35% · 2.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.49 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arsenal Arsenal
W W W D D
Everton Everton
W W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Arsenal
Stat
Everton
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.56
#1
League Pos.
#8
67 pts
Points
43 pts
2.23
Points / Game
1.48
+37
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal H
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton A
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record