Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
March 14, 2026
Arucas
11:00
VS
San Miguel
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Arucas
Rank#13
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-13
L
W
L
L
D
San Miguel
14#Rank
25Played
23Points
0.92PPG
-10Goal Diff
L
L
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.11
1-1
12.4%
8.06
2-0
10.2%
9.78
0-0
9.7%
10.35
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.23
NO
55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arucas
34% · 2.92
Draw
34% · 2.94
San Miguel
32% · 3.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.42
Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48
Under 32% · 3.1
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.81
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arucas
L
W
L
L
D
San Miguel
L
L
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Arucas
Stat
San Miguel
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#13
League Pos.
#14
24 pts
Points
23 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.92
-13
Goal Diff.
-10
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Arucas
Draw
San Miguel
5
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlético Paso
|
29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | +31 | 60 |
| 2 |
UD San Fernando
|
28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | +21 | 57 |
| 3 |
Tamaraceite
|
28 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 |
Tenerife C
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +9 | 49 |
| 5 |
Mensajero
|
28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +15 | 48 |
| 6 |
Panadería Pulido
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +14 | 48 |
| 7 |
Las Palmas III
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +15 | 44 |
| 8 |
Real Unión de Tenerife
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 9 |
Lanzarote
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +9 | 43 |
| 10 |
Villa Santa Brígida
|
29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Marino
|
28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | +10 | 36 |
| 12 |
San Miguel
A
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 13 |
Arucas
H
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 |
San Bartolomé
|
29 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -27 | 27 |
| 15 |
Unión Sur Yaiza
|
28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 |
Herbania
|
28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -13 | 26 |
| 17 |
Tenisca
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -34 | 21 |
| 18 |
Telde
|
28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -36 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.