Premier League Premier League February 11, 2026
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

10
FT
Brighton

Brighton

We predicted

Aston Villa 4+ 29% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, February 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Aston Villa 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 29%
Team Context
Aston Villa
Rank#3
Played25
Points47
PPG1.88
Goal Diff9
D L W L D
Brighton
14#Rank
25Played
31Points
1.24PPG
1Goal Diff
L D L D D
Most Likely Scores
Aston Villa 4+
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
9.46
1-1
10.3%
9.74
2-0
10.3%
9.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.88
NO 47% · 2.14
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Aston Villa 60% · 1.67
Draw 22% · 4.61
Brighton 18% · 5.43
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.8 Under 44% · 2.25
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27 Under 21% · 4.7
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.02 Under 67% · 1.5

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Aston Villa Aston Villa
D L W L D
Brighton Brighton
L D L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Aston Villa
Stat
Brighton
1.94
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#3
League Pos.
#14
47 pts
Points
31 pts
1.88
Points / Game
1.24
+9
Goal Diff.
+1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa H
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton A
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record