UEFA Champions League
February 25, 2026
Atalanta
4–1
FT
Borussia Dortmund
We predicted
Atalanta 4+
30% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, February 25 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Atalanta 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Atalanta 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
30%
Team Context
Atalanta
Rank#15
Played8
Points13
PPG1.63
Goal Diff0
L
L
W
W
W
Borussia Dortmund
17#Rank
8Played
11Points
1.38PPG
2Goal Diff
L
L
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Atalanta 4+
17.2%
2-1
9.8%
10.19
1-1
8.9%
11.25
2-0
8.4%
11.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.63
NO
39% · 2.58
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Atalanta
61% · 1.65
Draw
20% · 5.0
Borussia Dortmund
19% · 5.18
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.88
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.18
Under 15% · 6.63
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32
Under 57% · 1.76
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atalanta
L
L
W
W
W
Borussia Dortmund
L
L
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Atalanta
Stat
Borussia Dortmund
2.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#15
League Pos.
#17
13 pts
Points
11 pts
1.63
Points / Game
1.38
+0
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
2 W
Atalanta
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
14
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.