Serie A Serie A February 22, 2026
Atalanta

Atalanta

21
FT
Napoli

Napoli

We predicted

1-1 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Atalanta
Rank#7
Played25
Points42
PPG1.68
Goal Diff13
W W D W D
Napoli
3#Rank
25Played
50Points
2.0PPG
13Goal Diff
D W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.75
2-1
9.3%
10.72
1-0
9.1%
11.01
Atalanta 4+
8.0%
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.74
NO 42% · 2.36
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Atalanta 46% · 2.17
Draw 24% · 4.1
Napoli 30% · 3.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.81 Under 45% · 2.23
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.62
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.06 Under 67% · 1.49

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atalanta Atalanta
W W D W D
Napoli Napoli
D W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Atalanta
Stat
Napoli
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.26
#7
League Pos.
#3
42 pts
Points
50 pts
1.68
Points / Game
2.0
+13
Goal Diff.
+13

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Atalanta
Draw
Napoli
18 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Inter Inter
30 22 3 5 +42 69
2
AC Milan AC Milan
30 18 9 3 +24 63
3
Napoli Napoli A
30 19 5 6 +16 62
4
Como Como
30 16 9 5 +31 57
5
Juventus Juventus
30 15 9 6 +23 54
6
AS Roma AS Roma
30 17 3 10 +17 54
7
Atalanta Atalanta H
30 13 11 6 +14 50
8
Lazio Lazio
31 11 11 9 +3 44
9
Bologna Bologna
30 12 6 12 +2 42
10
Sassuolo Sassuolo
31 12 6 13 -3 42
11
Udinese Udinese
30 11 6 13 -7 39
12
Parma Parma
31 8 11 12 -17 35
13
Genoa Genoa
30 8 9 13 -6 33
14
Torino Torino
30 9 6 15 -19 33
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
31 7 11 13 -8 32
16
Cagliari Cagliari
31 7 9 15 -12 30
17
Cremonese Cremonese
30 6 9 15 -19 27
18
Lecce Lecce
30 7 6 17 -19 27
19
Pisa Pisa
30 2 12 16 -31 18
20
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
31 3 9 19 -31 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record