Primera División RFEF - Group 1
March 20, 2026
Athletic Club II
1–1
FT
Mérida AD
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Friday, March 20 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Athletic Club II
Rank#4
Played28
Points43
PPG1.54
Goal Diff0
W
D
L
W
L
Mérida AD
11#Rank
28Played
40Points
1.43PPG
-1Goal Diff
L
D
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.0
1-0
12.4%
8.09
2-1
9.1%
10.99
2-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.05
NO
51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Athletic Club II
46% · 2.15
Draw
34% · 2.95
Mérida AD
20% · 5.07
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24
Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42
Under 29% · 3.4
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.26
Under 77% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Athletic Club II
W
D
L
W
L
Mérida AD
L
D
D
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Athletic Club II
Stat
Mérida AD
1.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.01
#4
League Pos.
#11
43 pts
Points
40 pts
1.54
Points / Game
1.43
+0
Goal Diff.
-1
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
0 W
Athletic Club II
Draw
Mérida AD
7
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 7 |
Zamora
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +0 | 45 |
| 9 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club II
H
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Mérida AD
A
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |
Racing Ferrol
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 |
Real Avilés
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 |
Ourense CF
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.