La Liga La Liga February 21, 2026
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

42
FT
Espanyol

Espanyol

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Atletico Madrid
Rank#4
Played24
Points45
PPG1.88
Goal Diff17
L L D W W
Espanyol
6#Rank
24Played
35Points
1.46PPG
-4Goal Diff
D L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.6%
6.42
1-1
12.8%
7.81
0-0
12.0%
8.36
2-0
10.1%
9.86
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.45
NO 59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Madrid 48% · 2.09
Draw 29% · 3.49
Espanyol 24% · 4.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8 Under 64% · 1.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.68
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 6.04 Under 83% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
L L D W W
Espanyol Espanyol
D L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Atletico Madrid
Stat
Espanyol
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#4
League Pos.
#6
45 pts
Points
35 pts
1.88
Points / Game
1.46
+17
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
3 D
1 W
Atletico Madrid
Draw
Espanyol
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona Barcelona
30 25 1 4 +51 76
2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
30 22 3 5 +36 69
3
Villarreal Villarreal
29 18 4 7 +20 58
4
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid H
30 17 6 7 +20 57
5
Real Betis Real Betis
30 11 12 7 +7 45
6
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
30 11 8 11 +1 41
7
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
29 10 11 8 +6 41
8
Getafe Getafe
29 11 5 13 -6 38
9
Espanyol Espanyol A
30 10 8 12 -8 38
10
Athletic Club Athletic Club
29 11 5 13 -9 38
11
Osasuna Osasuna
29 10 7 12 -1 37
12
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
30 8 11 11 -6 35
13
Valencia Valencia
29 9 8 12 -10 35
14
Girona Girona
29 8 10 11 -13 34
15
Alaves Alaves
29 8 7 14 -11 31
16
Sevilla Sevilla
29 8 7 14 -12 31
17
Mallorca Mallorca
30 8 7 15 -12 31
18
Elche Elche
30 6 11 13 -9 29
19
Levante Levante
30 6 8 16 -16 26
20
Oviedo Oviedo
29 4 9 16 -28 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record