La Liga
May 17, 2026
Atletico Madrid
16:00
VS
Girona
Predicted score
Atletico Madrid 4+
44% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Atletico Madrid
Rank#3
Played27
Points54
PPG2.0
Goal Diff21
W
W
W
L
L
Girona
15#Rank
27Played
31Points
1.15PPG
-15Goal Diff
D
L
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Atletico Madrid 4+
17.7%
2-0
13.1%
7.64
1-0
11.8%
8.47
3-0
9.7%
10.33
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.18
NO
54% · 1.85
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Madrid
61% · 1.65
Draw
29% · 3.48
Girona
10% · 9.56
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.27
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.77
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 2.99
Under 67% · 1.5
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico Madrid
W
W
W
L
L
Girona
D
L
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico Madrid
Stat
Girona
2.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.72
#3
League Pos.
#15
54 pts
Points
31 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.15
+21
Goal Diff.
-15
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
Atletico Madrid
Draw
Girona
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
H
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 7 |
Celta Vigo
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
A
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.