Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 March 21, 2026
Atlético Mansillés

Atlético Mansillés

20
FT
UD Santa Marta

UD Santa Marta

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Atlético Mansillés
Rank#7
Played25
Points39
PPG1.56
Goal Diff-2
D D D L W
UD Santa Marta
4#Rank
26Played
49Points
1.88PPG
18Goal Diff
L W L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.9%
7.17
1-1
13.5%
7.4
0-0
13.3%
7.54
0-1
12.9%
7.78
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.48
NO 60% · 1.68
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atlético Mansillés 26% · 3.83
Draw 36% · 2.75
UD Santa Marta 38% · 2.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.04 Under 67% · 1.49
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.84 Under 85% · 1.17

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés
D D D L W
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
L W L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Atlético Mansillés
Stat
UD Santa Marta
1.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#7
League Pos.
#4
39 pts
Points
49 pts
1.56
Points / Game
1.88
-2
Goal Diff.
+18

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas
29 21 6 2 +37 69
2
Guijuelo Guijuelo
29 18 6 5 +19 60
3
Cristo Atlético Cristo Atlético
29 17 5 7 +21 56
4
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta A
29 17 4 8 +21 55
5
Palencia CF Palencia CF
28 17 4 7 +18 55
6
Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés H
28 11 11 6 +0 44
7
Almazán Almazán
28 10 11 7 +8 41
8
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino
28 11 8 9 -2 41
9
Mirandés II Mirandés II
29 11 7 11 +8 40
10
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos
28 9 6 13 -13 33
11
Villaralbo Villaralbo
29 8 8 13 -9 32
12
Cultural Leonesa II Cultural Leonesa II
28 9 5 14 -10 32
13
Arandina Arandina
29 7 8 14 -15 29
14
Bembibre Bembibre
28 7 7 14 -12 28
15
Mojados Mojados
29 5 9 15 -24 24
16
Numancia II Numancia II
28 6 5 17 -18 23
17
Unionistas II Unionistas II
29 3 13 13 -12 22
18
Becerril Campos Becerril Campos
29 5 7 17 -17 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record