Serie A
October 11, 2026
Atletico-MG
20:00
VS
Santos
Predicted score
Atletico-MG 4+
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, October 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Atletico-MG
Rank#17
Played4
Points2
PPG0.5
Goal Diff-2
L
D
L
D
Santos
13#Rank
4Played
4Points
1.0PPG
-2Goal Diff
W
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Atletico-MG 4+
12.7%
1-1
10.2%
9.79
2-1
9.9%
10.09
1-0
9.0%
11.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.73
NO
42% · 2.38
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Atletico-MG
48% · 2.1
Draw
27% · 3.67
Santos
25% · 3.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.69
Under 41% · 2.44
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.27
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.73
Under 63% · 1.58
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
L
D
L
D
Santos
W
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico-MG
Stat
Santos
1.94
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.13
#17
League Pos.
#13
2 pts
Points
4 pts
0.5
Points / Game
1.0
-2
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Atletico-MG
Draw
Santos
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
H
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
A
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.