Serie A
May 2, 2026
Atletico Paranaense
23:30
VS
Gremio
Predicted score
Atletico Paranaense 4+
55% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 2 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
55%
Team Context
Atletico Paranaense
Rank#
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Gremio
9#Rank
38Played
49Points
1.29PPG
-3Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Atletico Paranaense 4+
36.1%
3-0
13.2%
7.57
2-0
12.5%
7.97
1-0
7.9%
12.59
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.42
NO
59% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atletico Paranaense
66% · 1.52
Draw
20% · 5.08
Gremio
14% · 6.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.41
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.13
Under 12% · 8.42
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04
Under 51% · 1.96
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Atletico Paranaense
No form data available
Gremio
W
L
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Atletico Paranaense
Stat
Gremio
3.16
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.57
–
League Pos.
#9
– pts
Points
49 pts
–
Points / Game
1.29
+
Goal Diff.
-3
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Atletico Paranaense
Draw
Gremio
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
H
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
A
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.