Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Atlético Pueblonuevo

Atlético Pueblonuevo

20
FT
Llerenense

Llerenense

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Atlético Pueblonuevo
Rank#18
Played24
Points14
PPG0.58
Goal Diff-30
L W D L L
Llerenense
9#Rank
25Played
35Points
1.4PPG
0Goal Diff
D L W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.72
0-1
10.9%
9.19
1-0
10.4%
9.65
0-0
8.7%
11.51
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Atlético Pueblonuevo 25% · 4.01
Draw 34% · 2.91
Llerenense 41% · 2.46
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.35 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
L W D L L
Llerenense Llerenense
D L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Atlético Pueblonuevo
Stat
Llerenense
1.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.25
#18
League Pos.
#9
14 pts
Points
35 pts
0.58
Points / Game
1.4
-30
Goal Diff.
+0

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense A
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo H
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record