National 1
April 3, 2026
Aubagne
1–1
FT
Chateauroux
We predicted
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Aubagne
Rank#13
Played25
Points29
PPG1.16
Goal Diff-6
D
L
L
L
L
Chateauroux
14#Rank
25Played
23Points
0.92PPG
-8Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.97
1-0
11.3%
8.87
2-1
8.9%
11.2
0-1
8.8%
11.33
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.96
NO
49% · 2.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Aubagne
30% · 3.29
Draw
34% · 2.95
Chateauroux
36% · 2.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.15
Under 54% · 1.87
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.57
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.01
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Aubagne
D
L
L
L
L
Chateauroux
W
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Aubagne
Stat
Chateauroux
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.11
#13
League Pos.
#14
29 pts
Points
23 pts
1.16
Points / Game
0.92
-6
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
0 W
Aubagne
Draw
Chateauroux
22
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dijon
|
26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | +23 | 52 |
| 2 |
Sochaux
|
26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +25 | 51 |
| 3 |
Rouen
|
27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | +13 | 47 |
| 4 |
Le Puy Foot
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 44 |
| 5 |
Fleury 91
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +12 | 44 |
| 6 |
Versailles
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Orleans
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 43 |
| 8 |
Valenciennes
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 32 |
| 9 |
Villefranche
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 32 |
| 10 |
Concarneau
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 |
Caen
|
27 | 5 | 15 | 7 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 |
Aubagne
H
|
26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 |
Gobelins
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 |
Bourg-en-bresse 01
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 |
Chateauroux
A
|
26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 |
Quevilly
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Stade Briochin
|
27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -18 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.