Ligue 1
April 11, 2026
Auxerre
17:00
VS
Nantes
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Auxerre
Rank#16
Played25
Points19
PPG0.76
Goal Diff-16
D
D
L
W
D
Nantes
17#Rank
25Played
17Points
0.68PPG
-20Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
19.1%
5.24
0-0
18.4%
5.44
1-1
12.5%
7.99
0-1
12.1%
8.29
Both Teams To Score
YES
31% · 3.22
NO
69% · 1.45
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Auxerre
40% · 2.48
Draw
34% · 2.95
Nantes
26% · 3.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.15
Under 76% · 1.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.98
Under 49% · 2.02
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
91%
Over 9% · 10.85
Under 91% · 1.1
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Auxerre
D
D
L
W
D
Nantes
L
L
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Auxerre
Stat
Nantes
1.04
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.66
#16
League Pos.
#17
19 pts
Points
17 pts
0.76
Points / Game
0.68
-16
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Auxerre
Draw
Nantes
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +18 | 49 |
| 5 |
Monaco
|
28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 |
Lyon
|
28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | +12 | 48 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Lorient
|
28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
H
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 |
Nantes
A
|
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | -35 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.