Premier League
April 5, 2026
Awassa Kenema
13:00
VS
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Predicted score
1-0
42% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Awassa Kenema
Rank#2
Played24
Points40
PPG1.67
Goal Diff10
L
W
D
L
D
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
14#Rank
24Played
28Points
1.17PPG
-6Goal Diff
W
D
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
17.3%
5.77
0-0
15.4%
6.49
1-1
12.9%
7.74
0-1
11.5%
8.7
Both Teams To Score
YES
35% · 2.82
NO
65% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Awassa Kenema
45% · 2.24
Draw
37% · 2.72
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
19% · 5.4
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.47
Under 71% · 1.4
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.79
Under 44% · 2.26
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.33
Under 88% · 1.14
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Awassa Kenema
L
W
D
L
D
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
W
D
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Awassa Kenema
Stat
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1.12
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.75
#2
League Pos.
#14
40 pts
Points
28 pts
1.67
Points / Game
1.17
+10
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Awassa Kenema
Draw
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
5
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sidama Bunna
|
25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | +17 | 48 |
| 2 |
Awassa Kenema
H
|
24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 40 |
| 3 |
Negelle Arsi
|
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | +6 | 38 |
| 4 |
Mebrat Hayl
|
25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 38 |
| 5 |
Mekelakeya
|
25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | +10 | 37 |
| 6 |
Fasil Ketema
|
25 | 8 | 12 | 5 | +2 | 36 |
| 7 |
Ethiopia Bunna
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | +0 | 35 |
| 8 |
Adama Kenema
|
24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 |
Bahardar
|
25 | 6 | 14 | 5 | +0 | 32 |
| 10 |
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
|
25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | +0 | 31 |
| 11 |
Sheger Ketema
|
25 | 6 | 12 | 7 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 |
Hadiya Hosaena
|
25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |
Dire Dawa Kenema
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -8 | 29 |
| 14 |
Welayta Dicha
|
25 | 5 | 13 | 7 | +0 | 28 |
| 15 |
Ethiopian Medhin
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | +0 | 28 |
| 16 |
Kedus Giorgis
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 28 |
| 17 |
Suhul Shire
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 |
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
A
|
24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |
Mekelle Kenema
|
25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 |
Arba Minch Kenema
|
25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.