Eredivisie
February 8, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
1–1
FT
Ajax
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, February 8 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#7
Played21
Points32
PPG1.52
Goal Diff1
L
W
D
L
W
Ajax
4#Rank
21Played
38Points
1.81PPG
13Goal Diff
D
W
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.04
1-0
9.9%
10.14
0-1
9.0%
11.05
2-1
8.6%
11.7
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.87
NO
46% · 2.15
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar
40% · 2.53
Draw
26% · 3.82
Ajax
34% · 2.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04
Under 51% · 1.96
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.83
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.69
Under 73% · 1.37
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
L
W
D
L
W
Ajax
D
W
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
AZ Alkmaar
Stat
Ajax
1.37
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.26
#7
League Pos.
#4
32 pts
Points
38 pts
1.52
Points / Game
1.81
+1
Goal Diff.
+13
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Ajax
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 54 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
A
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
H
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.