Eredivisie
April 12, 2026
AZ Alkmaar
14:45
VS
Heerenveen
Predicted score
AZ Alkmaar 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 12 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
AZ Alkmaar
Rank#6
Played26
Points39
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
L
L
W
W
D
Heerenveen
8#Rank
26Played
37Points
1.42PPG
0Goal Diff
W
W
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
AZ Alkmaar 4+
16.1%
2-1
9.9%
10.13
1-1
9.2%
10.86
2-0
8.6%
11.64
Both Teams To Score
YES
60% · 1.66
NO
40% · 2.52
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
AZ Alkmaar
40% · 2.51
Draw
30% · 3.3
Heerenveen
30% · 3.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57
Under 36% · 2.75
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19
Under 16% · 6.23
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.41
Under 59% · 1.71
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar
L
L
W
W
D
Heerenveen
W
W
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
AZ Alkmaar
Stat
Heerenveen
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#6
League Pos.
#8
39 pts
Points
37 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.42
+1
Goal Diff.
+0
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Heerenveen
27
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
H
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
A
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.