Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Azuaga

Azuaga

20
FT
Gévora

Gévora

We predicted

1-0 40% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Azuaga
Rank#5
Played25
Points43
PPG1.72
Goal Diff11
W W D W W
Gévora
14#Rank
25Played
23Points
0.92PPG
-16Goal Diff
L W L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.4%
8.09
2-0
11.5%
8.7
Azuaga 4+
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
9.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.06
NO 52% · 1.94
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Azuaga 55% · 1.83
Draw 31% · 3.19
Gévora 14% · 7.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97 Under 49% · 2.03
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33 Under 25% · 4.05
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.49 Under 71% · 1.4

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Azuaga Azuaga
W W D W W
Gévora Gévora
L W L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Azuaga
Stat
Gévora
1.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#5
League Pos.
#14
43 pts
Points
23 pts
1.72
Points / Game
0.92
+11
Goal Diff.
-16

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Azuaga
Draw
Gévora
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
29 18 7 4 +39 61
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
29 18 5 6 +19 56
4
Jaraíz Jaraíz
29 14 10 5 +22 52
5
Azuaga Azuaga H
29 15 7 7 +17 52
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
29 11 8 10 +2 41
9
Jerez Jerez
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
29 10 7 12 +1 37
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora A
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
29 5 10 14 -22 25
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
29 6 5 18 -28 23
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
29 5 8 17 -30 22
18
Calamonte Calamonte
29 3 12 14 -14 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record