Iraqi League Iraqi League March 12, 2026
Baghdad

Baghdad

02
FT
Newroz

Newroz

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 12 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Baghdad
Rank#18
Played20
Points19
PPG0.95
Goal Diff-13
L L L D D
Newroz
12#Rank
21Played
25Points
1.19PPG
-5Goal Diff
L W W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.14
0-1
9.4%
10.64
1-0
8.9%
11.26
1-2
8.5%
11.78
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.83
NO 45% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Baghdad 25% · 3.97
Draw 34% · 2.98
Newroz 41% · 2.42
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.99 Under 50% · 2.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33 Under 25% · 3.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.53 Under 72% · 1.39

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Baghdad Baghdad
L L L D D
Newroz Newroz
L W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Baghdad
Stat
Newroz
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.38
#18
League Pos.
#12
19 pts
Points
25 pts
0.95
Points / Game
1.19
-13
Goal Diff.
-5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Baghdad
Draw
Newroz
3 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
25 18 5 2 +22 59
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
25 15 7 3 +17 52
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Zakho Zakho
26 13 7 6 +12 46
7
Al-Karma Al-Karma
26 12 8 6 +15 44
8
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
9
Newroz Newroz A
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
12
Naft Naft
25 8 9 8 +3 33
13
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
14
Gharraf Gharraf
25 9 5 11 -2 32
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
25 6 8 11 -5 26
16
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
25 5 7 13 -15 22
17
Baghdad Baghdad H
26 6 4 16 -19 22
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
25 6 3 16 -11 21
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
25 0 2 23 -51 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record