Serie A
October 28, 2026
Bahia
21:00
VS
Sao Paulo
Predicted score
1-0
45% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, October 28 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Bahia
Rank#4
Played3
Points7
PPG2.33
Goal Diff2
W
D
W
Sao Paulo
2#Rank
4Played
10Points
2.5PPG
4Goal Diff
W
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
22.0%
4.55
0-0
17.3%
5.77
2-0
13.9%
7.19
1-1
10.7%
9.37
Both Teams To Score
YES
28% · 3.62
NO
72% · 1.38
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bahia
38% · 2.66
Draw
36% · 2.79
Sao Paulo
27% · 3.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.9
Under 74% · 1.35
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.91
Under 48% · 2.1
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
90%
Over 10% · 9.9
Under 90% · 1.11
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bahia
W
D
W
Sao Paulo
W
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Bahia
Stat
Sao Paulo
1.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.49
#4
League Pos.
#2
7 pts
Points
10 pts
2.33
Points / Game
2.5
+2
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
4 W
Bahia
Draw
Sao Paulo
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
A
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |
Bahia
H
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Coritiba
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |
Botafogo
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 |
Cruzeiro
|
10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
Remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.