La Liga
February 28, 2026
Barcelona
4–1
FT
Villarreal
We predicted
Barcelona 4+
28% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 28 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Barcelona 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Barcelona 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Barcelona
Rank#1
Played25
Points61
PPG2.44
Goal Diff42
W
L
W
W
W
Villarreal
3#Rank
25Played
51Points
2.04PPG
20Goal Diff
W
W
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Barcelona 4+
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
8.84
2-0
11.2%
8.95
1-1
10.1%
9.95
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.97
NO
49% · 2.03
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Barcelona
63% · 1.6
Draw
21% · 4.73
Villarreal
16% · 6.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.84
Under 46% · 2.19
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.52
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.13
Under 68% · 1.47
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Barcelona
W
L
W
W
W
Villarreal
W
W
L
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Barcelona
Stat
Villarreal
1.98
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#1
League Pos.
#3
61 pts
Points
51 pts
2.44
Points / Game
2.04
+42
Goal Diff.
+20
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Barcelona
Draw
Villarreal
26
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
H
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
A
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Athletic Club
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.