Bundesliga
May 16, 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
13:30
VS
Hamburger SV
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank#6
Played25
Points44
PPG1.76
Goal Diff16
D
W
D
L
W
Hamburger SV
10#Rank
25Played
29Points
1.16PPG
-8Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.6%
6.42
2-0
14.6%
6.86
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
11.8%
1-1
9.6%
10.4
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.57
NO
61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bayer Leverkusen
58% · 1.71
Draw
31% · 3.26
Hamburger SV
11% · 9.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21
Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41
Under 29% · 3.44
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.21
Under 76% · 1.31
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
D
W
D
L
W
Hamburger SV
W
L
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Bayer Leverkusen
Stat
Hamburger SV
1.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.62
#6
League Pos.
#10
44 pts
Points
29 pts
1.76
Points / Game
1.16
+16
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
0 D
1 W
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
Hamburger SV
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | +32 | 64 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
H
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV
A
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.