Bundesliga
April 4, 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
6–3
FT
VfL Wolfsburg
We predicted
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
54% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
|
Actual
6–3
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Bayer Leverkusen 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
54%
Team Context
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank#6
Played25
Points44
PPG1.76
Goal Diff16
D
W
D
L
W
VfL Wolfsburg
17#Rank
25Played
20Points
0.8PPG
-21Goal Diff
L
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Bayer Leverkusen 4+
28.2%
2-0
12.4%
8.05
3-0
11.4%
8.75
1-0
9.0%
11.1
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.16
NO
54% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bayer Leverkusen
68% · 1.47
Draw
28% · 3.59
VfL Wolfsburg
4% · 24.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.51
Under 34% · 2.95
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.17
Under 15% · 6.89
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.28
Under 56% · 1.78
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen
D
W
D
L
W
VfL Wolfsburg
L
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Bayer Leverkusen
Stat
VfL Wolfsburg
2.76
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.69
#6
League Pos.
#17
44 pts
Points
20 pts
1.76
Points / Game
0.8
+16
Goal Diff.
-21
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw
VfL Wolfsburg
22
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | +30 | 62 |
| 3 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
H
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 |
Union Berlin
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -15 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
|
27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
A
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.