LFA First Division
March 15, 2026
BEA Mountain
7–3
FT
Freeport
We predicted
BEA Mountain 4+
51% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
BEA Mountain 4+
|
Actual
7–3
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — BEA Mountain 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
51%
Team Context
BEA Mountain
Rank#2
Played19
Points36
PPG1.89
Goal Diff20
W
W
W
W
W
Freeport
12#Rank
18Played
16Points
0.89PPG
-16Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
BEA Mountain 4+
22.2%
2-0
9.7%
10.27
2-1
9.6%
10.38
3-0
8.0%
12.5
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.74
NO
43% · 2.35
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
BEA Mountain
60% · 1.68
Draw
28% · 3.52
Freeport
12% · 8.29
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 2.99
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.17
Under 14% · 7.0
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24
Under 55% · 1.8
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
BEA Mountain
W
W
W
W
W
Freeport
W
W
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
BEA Mountain
Stat
Freeport
2.46
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.99
#2
League Pos.
#12
36 pts
Points
16 pts
1.89
Points / Game
0.89
+20
Goal Diff.
-16
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
BEA Mountain
Draw
Freeport
19
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Watanga
|
22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | +18 | 48 |
| 2 |
BEA Mountain
H
|
23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | +26 | 43 |
| 3 |
Fassell
|
22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 39 |
| 4 |
LISCR
|
22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +3 | 39 |
| 5 |
LPRC Oilers
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 37 |
| 6 |
Paynesville
|
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | +5 | 37 |
| 7 |
Heaven Eleven
|
23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | +1 | 33 |
| 8 |
Discoveries
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 31 |
| 9 |
Wologizi
|
22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 30 |
| 10 |
Gardnersville
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 29 |
| 11 |
Borough
|
22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 |
Downtown
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -8 | 25 |
| 13 |
Black Man Warrior
|
22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 |
Freeport
A
|
22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | -22 | 17 |
| 15 |
Jubilee
|
22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -40 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.