Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 March 14, 2026
Bembibre

Bembibre

20
FT
Numancia II

Numancia II

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Bembibre
Rank#14
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-11
L D W L D
Numancia II
17#Rank
24Played
19Points
0.79PPG
-19Goal Diff
L W L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.57
1-1
12.6%
7.92
0-0
11.2%
8.95
2-0
10.4%
9.65
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.38
NO 58% · 1.72
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bembibre 49% · 2.03
Draw 28% · 3.59
Numancia II 23% · 4.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67 Under 63% · 1.6
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.55 Under 36% · 2.8
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.6 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bembibre Bembibre
L D W L D
Numancia II Numancia II
L W L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Bembibre
Stat
Numancia II
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#14
League Pos.
#17
24 pts
Points
19 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.79
-11
Goal Diff.
-19

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Tordesillas
29 21 6 2 +37 69
2
Guijuelo Guijuelo
29 18 6 5 +19 60
3
Cristo Atlético Cristo Atlético
29 17 5 7 +21 56
4
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
29 17 4 8 +21 55
5
Palencia CF Palencia CF
28 17 4 7 +18 55
6
Atlético Mansillés Atlético Mansillés
28 11 11 6 +0 44
7
Almazán Almazán
28 10 11 7 +8 41
8
La Virgen del Camino La Virgen del Camino
28 11 8 9 -2 41
9
Mirandés II Mirandés II
29 11 7 11 +8 40
10
Colegios Diocesanos Colegios Diocesanos
28 9 6 13 -13 33
11
Villaralbo Villaralbo
29 8 8 13 -9 32
12
Cultural Leonesa II Cultural Leonesa II
28 9 5 14 -10 32
13
Arandina Arandina
29 7 8 14 -15 29
14
Bembibre Bembibre H
28 7 7 14 -12 28
15
Mojados Mojados
29 5 9 15 -24 24
16
Numancia II Numancia II A
28 6 5 17 -18 23
17
Unionistas II Unionistas II
29 3 13 13 -12 22
18
Becerril Campos Becerril Campos
29 5 7 17 -17 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record