Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 8, 2026
Benfica

Benfica

22
FT
FC Porto

FC Porto

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 8 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
Benfica
Rank#3
Played24
Points58
PPG2.42
Goal Diff37
W W W W D
FC Porto
1#Rank
24Played
65Points
2.71PPG
39Goal Diff
W W W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.7%
7.89
1-1
12.3%
8.16
2-0
9.6%
10.43
2-1
9.3%
10.78
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.94
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Benfica 34% · 2.95
Draw 34% · 2.98
FC Porto 33% · 3.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.22 Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.43
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.21 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Benfica Benfica
W W W W D
FC Porto FC Porto
W W W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Benfica
Stat
FC Porto
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#3
League Pos.
#1
58 pts
Points
65 pts
2.42
Points / Game
2.71
+37
Goal Diff.
+39

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
Benfica
Draw
FC Porto
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto A
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica H
28 19 9 0 +41 66
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
28 10 7 11 +3 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Arouca Arouca
28 9 5 14 -20 32
12
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
27 5 10 12 -22 25
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record