Primeira Liga Primeira Liga March 21, 2026
Benfica

Benfica

30
FT
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

We predicted

Benfica 4+ 49% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Benfica 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 49%
Team Context
Benfica
Rank#3
Played25
Points59
PPG2.36
Goal Diff37
D W W W W
Guimaraes
9#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
-9Goal Diff
L D L W L
Most Likely Scores
Benfica 4+
23.7%
2-0
14.0%
7.14
3-0
11.8%
8.46
1-0
11.1%
9.04
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.37
NO 58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Benfica 67% · 1.49
Draw 29% · 3.5
Guimaraes 4% · 23.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.52
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.66 Under 62% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Benfica Benfica
D W W W W
Guimaraes Guimaraes
L D L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Benfica
Stat
Guimaraes
2.53
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.61
#3
League Pos.
#9
59 pts
Points
32 pts
2.36
Points / Game
1.28
+37
Goal Diff.
-9

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
1 D
0 W
Benfica
Draw
Guimaraes
14 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
28 23 4 1 +43 73
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica H
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
27 14 7 6 +27 49
5
Famalicao Famalicao
28 13 7 8 +11 46
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Guimaraes Guimaraes A
28 10 5 13 -8 35
9
Moreirense Moreirense
28 10 5 13 -9 35
10
Alverca Alverca
28 8 8 12 -17 32
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
28 7 9 12 -19 30
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
28 6 10 12 -14 28
15
Nacional Nacional
28 6 7 15 -8 25
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record