Primeira Liga
April 12, 2026
Benfica
17:00
VS
Nacional
Predicted score
Benfica 4+
52% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 12 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
52%
Team Context
Benfica
Rank#3
Played25
Points59
PPG2.36
Goal Diff37
D
W
W
W
W
Nacional
15#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-8Goal Diff
D
L
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Benfica 4+
24.3%
2-0
14.9%
6.73
3-0
12.7%
7.89
1-0
11.6%
8.63
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.56
NO
61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Benfica
66% · 1.51
Draw
26% · 3.83
Nacional
8% · 13.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.68
Under 40% · 2.47
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.38
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.72
Under 63% · 1.58
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Benfica
D
W
W
W
W
Nacional
D
L
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Benfica
Stat
Nacional
2.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.55
#3
League Pos.
#15
59 pts
Points
22 pts
2.36
Points / Game
0.88
+37
Goal Diff.
-8
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
Benfica
Draw
Nacional
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
H
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
A
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.