Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 March 15, 2026
Berceo

Berceo

10
FT
Villegas

Villegas

We predicted

Berceo 4+ 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Berceo 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Berceo
Rank#15
Played25
Points26
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-9
L W D D D
Villegas
16#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-29Goal Diff
L D L L L
Most Likely Scores
Berceo 4+
13.1%
1-1
10.1%
9.95
2-1
9.9%
10.1
1-0
8.8%
11.4
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.7
NO 41% · 2.42
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Berceo 52% · 1.93
Draw 31% · 3.22
Villegas 17% · 5.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.66 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.66 Under 62% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Berceo Berceo
L W D D D
Villegas Villegas
L D L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Berceo
Stat
Villegas
1.97
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#15
League Pos.
#16
26 pts
Points
22 pts
1.04
Points / Game
0.88
-9
Goal Diff.
-29

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
UD Logroñés II UD Logroñés II
29 21 8 0 +58 71
2
Varea Varea
29 20 5 4 +24 65
3
Arnedo Arnedo
29 17 8 4 +40 59
4
Calahorra Calahorra
29 14 10 5 +46 52
5
Oyonesa Oyonesa
29 15 6 8 +10 51
6
Anguiano Anguiano
29 14 7 8 +8 49
7
Agoncillo Agoncillo
29 13 7 9 +15 46
8
Haro Deportivo Haro Deportivo
29 13 6 10 +6 45
9
Yagüe Yagüe
29 9 11 9 +2 38
10
Vianés Vianés
29 9 8 12 -6 35
11
San Marcial San Marcial
29 9 7 13 -15 34
12
Berceo Berceo H
29 8 9 12 -8 33
13
Comillas Comillas
29 9 4 16 -23 31
14
La Calzada La Calzada
29 8 6 15 -17 30
15
Pradejón Pradejón
29 7 8 14 -16 29
16
Villegas Villegas A
29 7 5 17 -27 26
17
Autol Autol
29 3 4 22 -52 13
18
Peña Balsamaiso Peña Balsamaiso
29 0 11 18 -45 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record