Championship
January 24, 2026
Birmingham
1–1
FT
Stoke City
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, January 24 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.25
1-0
11.5%
8.7
2-1
9.4%
10.68
2-0
8.9%
11.26
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.95
NO
49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Birmingham
49% · 2.06
Draw
25% · 3.92
Stoke City
26% · 3.86
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08
Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37
Under 27% · 3.73
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8
Under 74% · 1.36
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Key Stats Comparison
Birmingham
Stat
Stoke City
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
2 W
Birmingham
Draw
Stoke City
9
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | +42 | 85 |
| 2 |
Ipswich
|
40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | +31 | 75 |
| 3 |
Millwall
|
42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | +9 | 73 |
| 4 |
Middlesbrough
|
42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | +20 | 72 |
| 5 |
Southampton
|
41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | +20 | 69 |
| 6 |
Hull City
|
42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | +4 | 68 |
| 7 |
Wrexham
|
42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | +3 | 64 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | +8 | 63 |
| 9 |
Norwich
|
42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | +5 | 58 |
| 10 |
Bristol City
|
42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | +1 | 58 |
| 11 |
QPR
|
42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 |
Watford
|
42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | +1 | 57 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 |
Swansea
|
42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 |
Birmingham
H
|
42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 |
Stoke City
A
|
42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | +3 | 55 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | +0 | 54 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 |
Oxford United
|
42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 |
Leicester
|
42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | -57 | -4 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.