Bundesliga
April 11, 2026
Borussia Dortmund
13:30
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Borussia Dortmund
Rank#2
Played25
Points55
PPG2.2
Goal Diff27
W
L
D
W
W
Bayer Leverkusen
6#Rank
25Played
44Points
1.76PPG
16Goal Diff
D
W
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.87
1-0
11.2%
8.96
2-1
9.8%
10.21
2-0
9.7%
10.32
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.91
NO
48% · 2.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Borussia Dortmund
51% · 1.98
Draw
32% · 3.1
Bayer Leverkusen
17% · 5.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.93
Under 48% · 2.07
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.16
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.39
Under 70% · 1.42
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund
W
L
D
W
W
Bayer Leverkusen
D
W
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Borussia Dortmund
Stat
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.01
#2
League Pos.
#6
55 pts
Points
44 pts
2.2
Points / Game
1.76
+27
Goal Diff.
+16
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Borussia Dortmund
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +73 | 73 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
H
|
28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | +32 | 64 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 4 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +18 | 53 |
| 5 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 50 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
A
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 49 |
| 7 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 |
SC Freiburg
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 |
Union Berlin
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -15 | 32 |
| 11 |
FC Augsburg
|
28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | -17 | 32 |
| 12 |
Hamburger SV
|
28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 30 |
| 14 |
Werder Bremen
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 |
FC St. Pauli
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -20 | 25 |
| 17 |
VfL Wolfsburg
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 |
1. FC Heidenheim
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -34 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.