First League
April 4, 2026
Botev Plovdiv
5–0
FT
Spartak Varna
We predicted
Botev Plovdiv 4+
45% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Botev Plovdiv 4+
|
Actual
5–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Botev Plovdiv 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Botev Plovdiv
Rank#11
Played27
Points33
PPG1.22
Goal Diff-5
W
L
D
W
D
Spartak Varna
13#Rank
27Played
23Points
0.85PPG
-21Goal Diff
L
L
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Botev Plovdiv 4+
23.1%
2-0
13.8%
7.24
3-0
11.5%
8.7
1-0
11.0%
9.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.32
NO
57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Botev Plovdiv
65% · 1.55
Draw
27% · 3.73
Spartak Varna
8% · 11.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67
Under 40% · 2.5
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22
Under 18% · 5.48
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.68
Under 63% · 1.6
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Botev Plovdiv
W
L
D
W
D
Spartak Varna
L
L
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Botev Plovdiv
Stat
Spartak Varna
2.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.63
#11
League Pos.
#13
33 pts
Points
23 pts
1.22
Points / Game
0.85
-5
Goal Diff.
-21
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Botev Plovdiv
Draw
Spartak Varna
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levski Sofia
|
27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 65 |
| 2 |
Ludogorets
|
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +35 | 56 |
| 3 |
CSKA 1948
|
27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | +17 | 53 |
| 4 |
CSKA Sofia
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +16 | 49 |
| 5 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 |
Cherno More Varna
|
27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 43 |
| 7 |
Arda Kardzhali
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |
Botev Plovdiv
H
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +0 | 36 |
| 9 |
Slavia Sofia
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 10 |
Botev Vratsa
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
| 12 |
Dobrudzha
|
27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 |
Spartak Varna
A
|
28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -26 | 23 |
| 14 |
Beroe
|
27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 |
Septemvri Sofia
|
27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | -34 | 21 |
| 16 |
Montana
|
28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -29 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.