Premier League
March 4, 2026
Brighton
0–1
FT
Arsenal
We predicted
0-1
31% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, March 4 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
0-1
|
Actual
0–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
31%
Team Context
Brighton
Rank#12
Played28
Points37
PPG1.32
Goal Diff3
W
W
L
L
D
Arsenal
1#Rank
29Played
64Points
2.21PPG
36Goal Diff
W
W
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.9%
6.71
1-1
12.8%
7.79
0-0
11.3%
8.87
0-2
9.9%
10.15
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.36
NO
58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Brighton
19% · 5.37
Draw
35% · 2.86
Arsenal
46% · 2.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.69
Under 63% · 1.59
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.79
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.65
Under 82% · 1.21
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Brighton
W
W
L
L
D
Arsenal
W
W
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Brighton
Stat
Arsenal
0.86
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.32
#12
League Pos.
#1
37 pts
Points
64 pts
1.32
Points / Game
2.21
+3
Goal Diff.
+36
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
Brighton
Draw
Arsenal
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
A
|
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | +39 | 70 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 |
Manchester United
|
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +13 | 55 |
| 4 |
Aston Villa
|
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 54 |
| 5 |
Liverpool
|
31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 48 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 46 |
| 8 |
Everton
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |
Fulham
|
31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 44 |
| 10 |
Brighton
H
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 |
Sunderland
|
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 43 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Bournemouth
|
31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 |
Crystal Palace
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 15 |
Leeds
|
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | -11 | 33 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 |
Tottenham
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 |
West Ham
|
31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -21 | 29 |
| 19 |
Burnley
|
31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | -28 | 20 |
| 20 |
Wolves
|
31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.