A-League A-League March 21, 2026
Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar

12
FT
Wellington Phoenix

Wellington Phoenix

We predicted

Brisbane Roar 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Brisbane Roar 4+
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Brisbane Roar
Rank#9
Played21
Points24
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-6
D D L D L
Wellington Phoenix
10#Rank
21Played
24Points
1.14PPG
-9Goal Diff
W D L L D
Most Likely Scores
Brisbane Roar 4+
11.3%
1-1
10.0%
9.99
2-1
9.4%
10.7
1-0
7.2%
13.93
Both Teams To Score
YES 64% · 1.57
NO 36% · 2.74
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Brisbane Roar 33% · 3.02
Draw 32% · 3.17
Wellington Phoenix 35% · 2.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58 Under 37% · 2.72
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.2 Under 16% · 6.11
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44 Under 59% · 1.69

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar
D D L D L
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
W D L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Brisbane Roar
Stat
Wellington Phoenix
1.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.39
#9
League Pos.
#10
24 pts
Points
24 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.14
-6
Goal Diff.
-9

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
23 14 1 8 +12 43
2
Auckland Auckland
23 11 7 5 +14 40
3
Adelaide United Adelaide United
23 10 6 7 +7 36
4
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
23 10 5 8 +9 35
5
Sydney Sydney
23 10 4 9 +6 34
6
Macarthur Macarthur
23 8 7 8 -7 31
7
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix A
23 8 6 9 -7 30
8
Melbourne City Melbourne City
22 7 8 7 -3 29
9
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
22 7 7 8 -3 28
10
Brisbane Roar Brisbane Roar H
23 6 7 10 -7 25
11
Perth Glory Perth Glory
23 6 6 11 -10 24
12
Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers
23 5 6 12 -11 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record