ScoresFooty
Championship Championship January 30, 2026
Bristol City

Bristol City

0–5
FT
Derby

Derby

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Friday, January 30 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–5

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.56
1-0
12.5%
8.03
0-1
10.8%
9.23
0-0
10.2%
9.79
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.17
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bristol City 40% · 2.52
Draw 28% · 3.52
Derby 32% · 3.14
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51 Under 60% · 1.66
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.5 Under 34% · 2.98
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.08 Under 80% · 1.24
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Bristol City
Stat
Derby
1.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.06

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Bristol City
Draw
Derby
15 total goals
5 meetings

Last 3 Meetings

Championship 30 Jan
Championship 22 Aug 2025
Championship 4 Jan 2025

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby A
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City H
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record