Championship Championship May 2, 2026
Bristol City

Bristol City

11:30
VS
Stoke City

Stoke City

Predicted score

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, May 2 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Bristol City
Rank#10
Played36
Points50
PPG1.39
Goal Diff2
L L W L D
Stoke City
15#Rank
36Played
47Points
1.31PPG
3Goal Diff
L L W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.4%
6.1
1-1
12.7%
7.9
0-0
12.7%
7.91
2-0
10.6%
9.42
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.56
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bristol City 33% · 3.0
Draw 35% · 2.83
Stoke City 31% · 3.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.93 Under 66% · 1.52
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.63 Under 39% · 2.58
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.45 Under 84% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bristol City Bristol City
L L W L D
Stoke City Stoke City
L L W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Bristol City
Stat
Stoke City
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#10
League Pos.
#15
50 pts
Points
47 pts
1.39
Points / Game
1.31
+2
Goal Diff.
+3

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City H
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City A
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record