National Soccer League National Soccer League March 21, 2026
Bugesera

Bugesera

20
FT
AS Kigali

AS Kigali

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Bugesera
Rank#10
Played23
Points31
PPG1.35
Goal Diff0
W W D L W
AS Kigali
13#Rank
24Played
24Points
1.0PPG
-8Goal Diff
L D D L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.0%
6.27
0-0
13.4%
7.45
1-1
13.1%
7.65
0-1
11.0%
9.07
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.57
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Bugesera 41% · 2.46
Draw 32% · 3.12
AS Kigali 27% · 3.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.07 Under 67% · 1.48
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.68 Under 40% · 2.48
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 6.93 Under 86% · 1.17

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Bugesera Bugesera
W W D L W
AS Kigali AS Kigali
L D D L W

Key Stats Comparison

Bugesera
Stat
AS Kigali
1.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#10
League Pos.
#13
31 pts
Points
24 pts
1.35
Points / Game
1.0
+0
Goal Diff.
-8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record