1st Division 1st Division March 22, 2026
Burreli

Burreli

03
FT
Pogradeci

Pogradeci

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Burreli
Rank#6
Played27
Points33
PPG1.22
Goal Diff-11
L D D L D
Pogradeci
3#Rank
27Played
58Points
2.15PPG
26Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.64
0-1
11.0%
9.07
1-0
10.9%
9.2
0-0
9.2%
10.92
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.06
NO 51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Burreli 25% · 3.93
Draw 35% · 2.89
Pogradeci 40% · 2.51
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34 Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.22
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.56 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Burreli Burreli
L D D L D
Pogradeci Pogradeci
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Burreli
Stat
Pogradeci
1.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#6
League Pos.
#3
33 pts
Points
58 pts
1.22
Points / Game
2.15
-11
Goal Diff.
+26

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Burreli
Draw
Pogradeci
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Skenderbeu Korce Skenderbeu Korce
29 22 4 3 +28 70
2
Laci Laci
29 20 7 2 +32 67
3
Pogradeci Pogradeci A
29 19 7 3 +33 64
4
Iliria Fushë-Krujë Iliria Fushë-Krujë
29 9 11 9 -4 38
5
Kastrioti Krujë Kastrioti Krujë
29 10 6 13 -10 36
6
Burreli Burreli H
29 8 9 12 -16 33
7
Korabi Peshkopi Korabi Peshkopi
29 8 8 13 -8 32
8
Besa Kavajë Besa Kavajë
28 8 7 13 -3 31
9
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
29 7 6 16 -15 27
10
Apolonia Fier Apolonia Fier
29 6 8 15 -11 26
11
Lushnja Lushnja
29 5 10 14 -14 25
12
Luftëtari Luftëtari
28 3 13 12 -12 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record