Non League Div One - Northern West
April 4, 2026
Bury
4–1
FT
Congleton Town
We predicted
Bury 4+
45% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Bury 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Bury 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
45%
Team Context
Bury
Rank#1
Played37
Points77
PPG2.08
Goal Diff40
W
W
W
L
W
Congleton Town
17#Rank
36Played
37Points
1.03PPG
-13Goal Diff
W
D
D
D
D
Most Likely Scores
Bury 4+
16.6%
2-1
10.0%
10.05
2-0
9.6%
10.44
1-1
9.2%
10.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.75
NO
43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Bury
56% · 1.79
Draw
30% · 3.34
Congleton Town
14% · 6.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62
Under 38% · 2.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21
Under 17% · 5.84
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.53
Under 60% · 1.65
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Bury
W
W
W
L
W
Congleton Town
W
D
D
D
D
Key Stats Comparison
Bury
Stat
Congleton Town
2.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#1
League Pos.
#17
77 pts
Points
37 pts
2.08
Points / Game
1.03
+40
Goal Diff.
-13
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
Bury
Draw
Congleton Town
5
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.