Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
April 3, 2026
Cabeza Buey
1–0
FT
Llerenense
We predicted
1-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-0
|
Actual
1–0
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Cabeza Buey
Rank#6
Played28
Points45
PPG1.61
Goal Diff12
L
W
D
L
D
Llerenense
11#Rank
28Played
36Points
1.29PPG
-5Goal Diff
D
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.92
1-1
11.8%
8.45
2-0
11.3%
8.86
0-0
9.3%
10.8
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.26
NO
56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cabeza Buey
53% · 1.89
Draw
35% · 2.83
Llerenense
12% · 8.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.36
Under 58% · 1.74
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46
Under 31% · 3.19
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.62
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Cabeza Buey
L
W
D
L
D
Llerenense
D
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Cabeza Buey
Stat
Llerenense
1.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#6
League Pos.
#11
45 pts
Points
36 pts
1.61
Points / Game
1.29
+12
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Cabeza Buey
Draw
Llerenense
4
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +38 | 58 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +18 | 52 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
|
28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +22 | 51 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
H
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 7 |
Villafranca
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Villanovense
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Jerez
|
29 | 7 | 17 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Montijo
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 |
Llerenense
A
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 |
Calamonte
|
28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 |
Montehermoso
|
28 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -31 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.