Primera División RFEF - Group 1
March 15, 2026
Cacereño
0–0
FT
Ponferradina
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Cacereño
Rank#18
Played27
Points28
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-11
L
D
L
W
D
Ponferradina
9#Rank
27Played
39Points
1.44PPG
5Goal Diff
L
W
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.3%
7.52
1-0
13.2%
7.55
0-1
11.1%
9.04
0-0
11.0%
9.08
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.26
NO
56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cacereño
28% · 3.53
Draw
35% · 2.83
Ponferradina
36% · 2.75
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.64
Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.55
Under 35% · 2.83
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.5
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Cacereño
L
D
L
W
D
Ponferradina
L
W
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Cacereño
Stat
Ponferradina
1.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#18
League Pos.
#9
28 pts
Points
39 pts
1.04
Points / Game
1.44
-11
Goal Diff.
+5
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
2 W
Cacereño
Draw
Ponferradina
5
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tenerife
|
31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | +33 | 65 |
| 2 |
Celta de Vigo II
|
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ponferradina
A
|
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 47 |
| 4 |
Barakaldo
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 5 |
Pontevedra
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid II
|
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | +5 | 46 |
| 7 |
Zamora
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +5 | 46 |
| 8 |
Lugo
|
31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | +0 | 45 |
| 9 |
Unionistas de Salamanca
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | +2 | 44 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club II
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 |
Mérida AD
|
31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 |
Racing Ferrol
|
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | -1 | 42 |
| 13 |
Arenas Getxo
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -5 | 41 |
| 14 |
Real Avilés
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 |
Guadalajara
|
31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 |
Ourense CF
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 |
Cacereño
H
|
31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 |
Osasuna II
|
31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 |
Arenteiro
|
31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -14 | 26 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.