Serie A Serie A February 16, 2026
Cagliari

Cagliari

02
FT
Lecce

Lecce

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Monday, February 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Cagliari
Rank#13
Played24
Points28
PPG1.17
Goal Diff-5
L W W W L
Lecce
17#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-16Goal Diff
W L D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.7%
6.79
2-0
12.2%
8.2
1-1
11.3%
8.87
2-1
9.3%
10.72
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.31
NO 57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cagliari 59% · 1.71
Draw 24% · 4.12
Lecce 17% · 5.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.3 Under 56% · 1.77
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44 Under 30% · 3.29
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.45 Under 78% · 1.29

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Cagliari Cagliari
L W W W L
Lecce Lecce
W L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Cagliari
Stat
Lecce
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#13
League Pos.
#17
28 pts
Points
21 pts
1.17
Points / Game
0.88
-5
Goal Diff.
-16

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Cagliari
Draw
Lecce
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Inter Inter
31 23 3 5 +45 72
2
AC Milan AC Milan
30 18 9 3 +24 63
3
Napoli Napoli
30 19 5 6 +16 62
4
Como Como
30 16 9 5 +31 57
5
Juventus Juventus
30 15 9 6 +23 54
6
AS Roma AS Roma
31 17 3 11 +14 54
7
Atalanta Atalanta
30 13 11 6 +14 50
8
Bologna Bologna
31 13 6 12 +3 45
9
Lazio Lazio
31 11 11 9 +3 44
10
Sassuolo Sassuolo
31 12 6 13 -3 42
11
Udinese Udinese
30 11 6 13 -7 39
12
Torino Torino
31 10 6 15 -18 36
13
Parma Parma
31 8 11 12 -17 35
14
Genoa Genoa
30 8 9 13 -6 33
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
31 7 11 13 -8 32
16
Cagliari Cagliari H
31 7 9 15 -12 30
17
Cremonese Cremonese
31 6 9 16 -20 27
18
Lecce Lecce A
30 7 6 17 -19 27
19
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona
31 3 9 19 -31 18
20
Pisa Pisa
31 2 12 17 -32 18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record