Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 March 15, 2026
Calvo Sotelo

Calvo Sotelo

20
FT
Tarancón

Tarancón

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Calvo Sotelo
Rank#3
Played25
Points52
PPG2.08
Goal Diff21
D W W L W
Tarancón
2#Rank
25Played
52Points
2.08PPG
26Goal Diff
D D W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.9%
6.7
1-1
13.1%
7.64
0-0
12.0%
8.32
0-1
10.5%
9.49
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.41
NO 58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Calvo Sotelo 31% · 3.24
Draw 35% · 2.82
Tarancón 34% · 2.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81 Under 64% · 1.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6 Under 37% · 2.67
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.07 Under 84% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
D W W L W
Tarancón Tarancón
D D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Calvo Sotelo
Stat
Tarancón
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#3
League Pos.
#2
52 pts
Points
52 pts
2.08
Points / Game
2.08
+21
Goal Diff.
+26

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo H
29 18 8 3 +26 62
2
Toledo Toledo
29 17 10 2 +33 61
3
Albacete II Albacete II
29 16 10 3 +31 58
4
Tarancón Tarancón A
29 17 7 5 +26 58
5
Manchego Manchego
29 16 5 8 +22 53
6
Villarrubia Villarrubia
29 13 7 10 +7 45
7
San Clemente San Clemente
29 11 10 8 -1 43
8
Villacañas Villacañas
29 11 9 9 +7 42
9
Guadalajara II Guadalajara II
29 10 9 10 +0 39
10
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
29 9 10 10 -6 37
11
Huracán Balazote Huracán Balazote
29 11 4 14 -8 37
12
Marchamalo Marchamalo
29 9 6 14 -3 33
13
Illescas Illescas
29 7 10 12 -11 31
14
La Solana La Solana
29 6 10 13 -13 28
15
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras
29 5 12 13 -17 26
16
Azuqueca Azuqueca
29 4 12 13 -13 24
17
Sonseca Sonseca
29 3 7 19 -39 16
18
Cazalegas Cazalegas
29 3 6 20 -41 15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record