Liga de Expansión MX Liga de Expansión MX March 29, 2026
Cancún

Cancún

22
FT
Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Cancún
Rank#2
Played14
Points30
PPG2.14
Goal Diff18
L D W W D
Tepatitlán
8#Rank
14Played
18Points
1.29PPG
5Goal Diff
L D L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.2%
7.57
2-0
12.1%
8.27
Cancún 4+
11.0%
1-1
10.6%
9.45
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cancún 55% · 1.82
Draw 31% · 3.18
Tepatitlán 14% · 7.37
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.05 Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.82
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.72 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Cancún Cancún
L D W W D
Tepatitlán Tepatitlán
L D L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Cancún
Stat
Tepatitlán
1.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.8
#2
League Pos.
#8
30 pts
Points
18 pts
2.14
Points / Game
1.29
+18
Goal Diff.
+5

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlante FC Atlante FC
14 9 3 2 +25 30
2
Cancún Cancún H
14 9 3 2 +18 30
3
CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero
14 8 6 0 +9 30
4
Irapuato Irapuato
14 6 5 3 +4 23
5
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
14 5 6 3 +2 21
6
Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG
14 6 3 5 +2 21
7
Monarcas Monarcas
14 5 4 5 -2 19
8
Tepatitlán Tepatitlán A
14 4 6 4 +5 18
9
Venados FC Venados FC
14 5 3 6 -1 18
10
CA La Paz CA La Paz
14 4 5 5 -5 17
11
Tapatío Tapatío
14 4 3 7 +2 15
12
Tlaxcala Tlaxcala
14 3 5 6 -13 14
13
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
14 3 4 7 -9 13
14
Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat
14 2 4 8 -19 10
15
Dorados Dorados
14 1 2 11 -18 5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record