Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
April 5, 2026
Carabanchel
3–1
LIVE
AD Parla
Predicted score
1-0
35% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Carabanchel
Rank#16
Played28
Points28
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-6
D
D
L
L
W
AD Parla
17#Rank
28Played
26Points
0.93PPG
-24Goal Diff
D
W
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.7%
7.32
1-1
13.2%
7.6
0-0
10.9%
9.2
0-1
10.5%
9.55
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.26
NO
56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Carabanchel
40% · 2.51
Draw
31% · 3.21
AD Parla
29% · 3.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.62
Under 62% · 1.62
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.54
Under 35% · 2.86
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.43
Under 82% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Carabanchel
D
D
L
L
W
AD Parla
D
W
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Carabanchel
Stat
AD Parla
1.26
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#16
League Pos.
#17
28 pts
Points
26 pts
1.0
Points / Game
0.93
-6
Goal Diff.
-24
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Carabanchel
Draw
AD Parla
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
A Madrid III
|
29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | +29 | 54 |
| 2 |
Las Rozas
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 3 |
Leganés II
|
29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +32 | 50 |
| 4 |
Móstoles
|
28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +12 | 49 |
| 5 |
Trival Valderas
|
28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Torrejón
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 46 |
| 7 |
Unión Adarve
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | -3 | 41 |
| 8 |
Alcobendas Sport
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 |
Villaverde-Boetticher
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 |
Galapagar
|
29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -8 | 39 |
| 11 |
SS Reyes II
|
28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | +5 | 38 |
| 12 |
Pozuelo Alarcón
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |
Alcorcón II
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 |
Tres Cantos
|
29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 |
Villanueva Pardillo
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -14 | 29 |
| 16 |
Carabanchel
H
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 |
AD Parla
A
|
28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -24 | 26 |
| 18 |
Racing Madrid
|
29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -28 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.