National League
March 21, 2026
Carlisle
6–2
FT
Boston United
We predicted
Carlisle 4+
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Carlisle 4+
|
Actual
6–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Carlisle 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Carlisle
Rank#3
Played38
Points75
PPG1.97
Goal Diff23
L
W
D
W
L
Boston United
13#Rank
38Played
47Points
1.24PPG
-5Goal Diff
W
L
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
Carlisle 4+
11.7%
1-1
10.4%
9.63
2-1
9.8%
10.22
1-0
8.6%
11.57
Both Teams To Score
YES
59% · 1.69
NO
41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Carlisle
50% · 2.0
Draw
32% · 3.17
Boston United
19% · 5.39
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.68
Under 41% · 2.47
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.34
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.7
Under 63% · 1.59
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Carlisle
L
W
D
W
L
Boston United
W
L
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Carlisle
Stat
Boston United
1.88
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#3
League Pos.
#13
75 pts
Points
47 pts
1.97
Points / Game
1.24
+23
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
0 W
Carlisle
Draw
Boston United
18
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
York
|
42 | 30 | 8 | 4 | +68 | 98 |
| 2 |
Rochdale
|
42 | 31 | 5 | 6 | +45 | 98 |
| 3 |
Carlisle
H
|
42 | 26 | 7 | 9 | +29 | 85 |
| 4 |
Boreham Wood
|
42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | +33 | 81 |
| 5 |
Scunthorpe
|
42 | 22 | 12 | 8 | +17 | 78 |
| 6 |
Forest Green
|
42 | 21 | 11 | 10 | +24 | 74 |
| 7 |
Southend
|
40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | +27 | 68 |
| 8 |
FC Halifax Town
|
42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | +6 | 65 |
| 9 |
Hartlepool
|
41 | 16 | 13 | 12 | -2 | 61 |
| 10 |
Tamworth
|
42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | -11 | 57 |
| 11 |
Woking
|
41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | +9 | 55 |
| 12 |
Wealdstone
|
41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | -8 | 51 |
| 13 |
Yeovil Town
|
42 | 15 | 5 | 22 | -13 | 50 |
| 14 |
Solihull Moors
|
41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | -4 | 48 |
| 15 |
Boston United
A
|
41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | -10 | 48 |
| 16 |
Altrincham
|
42 | 14 | 6 | 22 | -13 | 48 |
| 17 |
Sutton Utd
|
42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | -12 | 47 |
| 18 |
Aldershot Town
|
41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | -9 | 46 |
| 19 |
Gateshead
|
42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | -34 | 44 |
| 20 |
Eastleigh
|
42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | -24 | 43 |
| 21 |
Brackley Town
|
42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -32 | 38 |
| 22 |
Morecambe
|
42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | -25 | 37 |
| 23 |
Braintree
|
42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -31 | 35 |
| 24 |
Truro City
|
42 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -30 | 30 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.