Primeira Liga
April 6, 2026
Casa Pia
19:45
VS
Benfica
Predicted score
Benfica 4+
43% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Casa Pia
Rank#13
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-18
D
D
L
W
D
Benfica
3#Rank
25Played
59Points
2.36PPG
37Goal Diff
D
W
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Benfica 4+
16.3%
0-2
15.1%
6.64
0-1
14.1%
7.09
0-3
10.7%
9.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
39% · 2.55
NO
61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Casa Pia
9% · 10.7
Draw
29% · 3.48
Benfica
62% · 1.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.96
Under 49% · 2.04
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.49
Under 71% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Casa Pia
D
D
L
W
D
Benfica
D
W
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Casa Pia
Stat
Benfica
0.59
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.14
#13
League Pos.
#3
24 pts
Points
59 pts
0.96
Points / Game
2.36
-18
Goal Diff.
+37
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Casa Pia
Draw
Benfica
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
A
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
H
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.