Serie D - Girone F
April 2, 2026
Castelfidardo Calcio
2–2
FT
Maceratese
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, April 2 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Castelfidardo Calcio
Rank#16
Played29
Points21
PPG0.72
Goal Diff-29
L
W
W
L
W
Maceratese
12#Rank
29Played
33Points
1.14PPG
-3Goal Diff
W
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.9%
8.4
0-1
9.1%
11.0
1-2
8.9%
11.3
1-0
8.0%
12.52
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.77
NO
44% · 2.3
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Castelfidardo Calcio
34% · 2.94
Draw
29% · 3.43
Maceratese
37% · 2.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89
Under 47% · 2.12
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.31
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.26
Under 69% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Castelfidardo Calcio
L
W
W
L
W
Maceratese
W
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Castelfidardo Calcio
Stat
Maceratese
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.49
#16
League Pos.
#12
21 pts
Points
33 pts
0.72
Points / Game
1.14
-29
Goal Diff.
-3
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Castelfidardo Calcio
Draw
Maceratese
6
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.