Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 March 29, 2026
Castro

Castro

31
FT
Selaya

Selaya

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Castro
Rank#11
Played27
Points34
PPG1.26
Goal Diff1
L D D W L
Selaya
16#Rank
27Played
18Points
0.67PPG
-18Goal Diff
L D W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.5%
7.42
2-0
11.6%
8.64
1-1
11.2%
8.94
2-1
9.6%
10.42
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Castro 53% · 1.89
Draw 32% · 3.1
Selaya 15% · 6.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.14 Under 53% · 1.88
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.99 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Castro Castro
L D D W L
Selaya Selaya
L D W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Castro
Stat
Selaya
1.72
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#11
League Pos.
#16
34 pts
Points
18 pts
1.26
Points / Game
0.67
+1
Goal Diff.
-18

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record