Primera División - Apertura Primera División - Apertura March 30, 2026
Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo

20
FT
Danubio

Danubio

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 30 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Cerro Largo
Rank#8
Played7
Points3
PPG0.43
Goal Diff-4
D L L D L
Danubio
4#Rank
7Played
10Points
1.43PPG
0Goal Diff
L L L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.66
1-0
11.2%
8.93
0-1
10.5%
9.5
0-0
9.0%
11.06
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.05
NO 51% · 1.96
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Cerro Largo 41% · 2.45
Draw 35% · 2.89
Danubio 25% · 4.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32 Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44 Under 31% · 3.25
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.51 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
D L L D L
Danubio Danubio
L L L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Cerro Largo
Stat
Danubio
1.24
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#8
League Pos.
#4
3 pts
Points
10 pts
0.43
Points / Game
1.43
-4
Goal Diff.
+0

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record